Markets move on fear, and fear shows up in what people do before it shows up in official figures. Six Ravens listens in two ways: what people suddenly look up, and what they are saying to each other. Neither tells you what to do, and neither ever changes a level. They tell you when worry is spreading.
When people start to worry about their bank or their savings, they look things up. Public Alarm counts, every day, how many people worldwide read the English Wikipedia articles on bank runs, market crashes, crypto failures and war, and compares that with the normal level for each article.
A group flags when two or more of its articles are read at 3 times their normal rate on the same day. Normal means the median of the previous 90 days, leaving out the latest week. The counts come from the Wikimedia Foundation's official page-view statistics: no personal data, and nothing anyone can buy their way into.
You see it in your panel and in the Friday report: each group's reading against normal, and a flag when one of them jumps.
Stories start as talk. A rumour about a bank, a stablecoin or a blockade often circulates on social networks hours or days before it becomes news. Whisper will measure that talk: how much people are discussing bank runs, crashes, crypto failures and war, and how fast that is growing compared with normal.
We measure the conversation; we never repeat it. Whisper will show counts and trends only. It will never show individual posts, name the people who wrote them, or pass on rumours about a named company.
Social networks are noisy, with bots, hype and deliberate rumours, and their history is short. So we will collect the counts quietly first and test them against real events before Whisper appears in your panel and reports. It is not available yet, and we will not give a date until it has passed that test.
| Public Alarm | Whisper | |
|---|---|---|
| Measures | What people look up | What people say |
| Tells you | Worry has reached the wider public | A story is starting before it is news |
| Timing | Usually the same day as a shock | Often earlier |
| Noise | Low | High, so it is filtered and tested first |
| Status | Available now | Coming |
When both rise together, it is a much stronger sign than either alone.
Public Alarm and Whisper are exclusive to Six Ravens, together with every area, every change the same day, the weekday briefing and the data download. Subscribers get Whisper at no extra cost when it opens, and the price lock means new features never raise their price. From $40 a month, billed yearly.